A new study says that in the coming decades, temperatures in the Northeast will rise faster than in the rest of the country.

The Paris climate agreement calls for holding average temperatures to within 2 degrees Celsius — about 3 1/2 degrees Fahrenheit — of where they were before the Industrial Revolution.

Scientists at UMass Amherst wanted to find out what’s likely to happen in different parts of the world. Their conclusions surprised them. The American Northeast is on track to hit the threshold 20 to 25 years before the planet as a whole, meaning warmer, wetter winters.

“This winter in our region is probably typical of what we might expect, with a lot more rain and freezing rain and mixed wintry conditions rather than the traditional snow and cold weather that we might have had in past,” said Professor Raymond Bradley, who co-authored the study.

Bradley hasn’t determined why the Northeast will warm faster, but thinks it’s probably related to a shift in the jet stream.